Tranquility

Tranquility
Sunset in a Senegalese Village

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Rapid Intensification for Hurricane Ganzalo -- may deal Bermuda a blow later this week




Hurricane Gonzalo at approximately 5:15 AM EST October 14th 


Overnight Tropical Cyclone went from being a minimum category 1 hurricane (85 MPH winds at 11 PM) and is now on the verge of being a major hurricane.  Maximum Sustained winds of 110 mph are estimated (5 AM) and further strengthening is likely today.  Hurricane Gonzalo is in a weak shear environment making development likely.   Current forecast suggest that Gonzalo may have winds of 130 MPH in 36 hours bringing it to near Category 4 status.  While the storm is currently out over the ocean and not threatening any land areas, the forecast track will take the hurricane Gonzalo close to Bermuda later on this week in into the weekend.  Even if the storm is moving rapidly as a major hurricane (3 or higher) it may still have a negative impact  on the infrastructure of Bermuda.  This late season hurricane is worth watching as its undergone rapid intensification over the last day which the best hurricane models have trouble dealing with.


Current Track for Hurricane Gonzalo (Tuesday October 15th)

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