Tranquility

Tranquility
Sunset in a Senegalese Village

Sunday, November 2, 2014

Ebola outbreak raged out of control during the last 10 days --3600 new cases



Over the past 8 weeks, the number of suspected Ebola cases has been steadily rising, especially in Sierra Leone and Liberia, with more than 8000 cases being suspected on October 1st.  



Weekly Suspected cases in the three countries (source: WHO)


However, during the past week, the number of reported (suspected) Ebola cases significantly increased by more than 3600 cases between October 22 and October 31 based on WHO data.
Weekly data shows while the number of new cases are increasing in Guinea, it cannot be compared to what is happening in Sierra Leone and Liberia.



Number of suspected Ebola Cases in Guinea (Source:WHO)


Number of suspected Ebola Cases in Liberia (Source: WHO)


Number of suspected Ebola Cases in Sierra Leone (Source: WHO)

The large increases in Ebola cases have occurred in both Sierra Leone and Liberia over the last 10 days.  Either this is due to better reporting or higher infection rates.  Either way this is a very big change and we should all be worried about what is happening in both countries.  This is a humanitarian crisis and likely to destabilize both countries and the region in general.   


Number of new suspected cases versus the prior week for all three countries (Source: WHO)


Based on the data, there have been 300-500 new cases in Sierra Leone and Liberia since October 1st.  However last week the number of new suspected cases jumped from 376 in the prior week to 1870 on October 31st in Liberia .


Total # of new cases in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone relative to the prior week (Source: WHO)



The new cases jumped from 454 to 1632 new cases in Sierra Leone.  This two countries are responsible for the tripling of cases between October 22 to October 31.  The World needs to really come together to address this situation immediately.  So many families are being destroyed, so many young people will become orphans and so many people are at risk.  The time to act is NOW!!


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