Tranquility

Tranquility
Sunset in a Senegalese Village

Friday, August 24, 2012

Issac Organizes itself -- Haiti -- prepare for impact

Friday 8/24 11:45 Visible Image of Issac
Well, it looks like Issac after being disorganized with multiple centers and having a track that was south of the the Greater Antilles is making its move north.  It is organizing around a central center which was not obvious in the last 3-4 days.  Issac has increased from 45 MPH to 60 MPH since 5 AM this morning and appears to be strengthening while moving NW taking it on a track to intersect Haiti.  Based on its current motions, the weather should being to worsen in the next few of hours in Haiti.  Depending on the exact track, the Issac may not weaken much as it will may not interact with the mountains.   Residents should expect winds of 30-60 MPH with higher gust, but the rain will be extremely heavy with life-threatening flash floods in Port au Prince and northward to Gonaives.    The next 24 hours will be difficult.

There is still uncertainty on where this storm is going after it impacts Haiti and Cuba.  But no one should be at ease because Issac may be stronger and more organized than initially anticipated.  The cone of uncertainty is very large with land-fall anywhere from Florida to Louisiana by Wednesday.  There is even more uncertainty on how strong it will be at that point.   Now we must hope and pray for the people of Haiti to remain strong and for the impacts to be minimal.   But the time of trial is upon them.




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