More than a week ago, (July 15-16) we took our last ozone measurements from Dakar when a well defined closed circulation passed off the coast of Senegal. 10 days later this system is just to the south of Cuba. This easterly wave as dumped rain on Barbados, Dominican republic, Haiti and Cuba. There is lots of easterly wind shear over the Gulf of Mexico, but the wave is still hanging in there.
So the question is to be or not to be!! Tonight or Tomorrow we will know the answer. The model forecast suggest that the weak wave or tropical cyclone may head towards Texas/Mexico in the next 5 days.
Looking further east, the forecast are showing healthy easterly waves moving across West Africa towards the Atlantic. Looks like the table is being set for the hurricane season!
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