Tranquility

Tranquility
Sunset in a Senegalese Village

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Will Sandy upstage Mitt and Barack??





As the race for who becomes president of the United States of America comes to a close there are many issues on the table.  There are gallop polls of who will win, there are likely votes and independents who may swing the race one way or the other.  But tonight there is another factor to consider and her name is Sandy....Hurricane Sandy that is.  As she make landfall in Cuba after an earlier landfall in Jamaica earlier today the questions is will she miss the US or not? 

Earlier this week, the answer was a definitive miss on the US east coast.  But the European medium range forecast began taking the Sandy out to sea but re-curving it back towards the US east Coast.
The problem with outliers is that they do not always make sense but you can't ignore them.  Today
most of the models (GFS, Canadian, Navy and European models) are bringing Sandy back towards
the East Coast.

There is a large amount of uncertainty, but landfall could happen as early as Monday with deteriorating weather conditions along the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic beginning as early as Saturday
evening.  Sandy will be a big storm with a large wind field.  If the ECMWF model holds true, much
of the East Coast could experience significant damage -- more than Hurricane Irene in 2011. Landfall could be anywhere from VA to Maine. 

Even with the uncertainty, it is not too early to begin to look at where your valuables are located.   Batteries and flashlights are a must.  The strength of the storm should not lead evacuations except maybe along coastal zones where flooding may be a serious problem.  But electricity remains vulnerable if the storm comes up the coast.

While Barack and Mitt continue their race to the finish line make sure that you are ready to race
to the store if necessary. 

While neither candidate mentioned climate change in their debates, there is one cut that is off limits:  FEMA 

Be Safe and stay informed this weekend!!

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